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    請使用永久網址來引用或連結此文件: https://ir.lib.ncu.edu.tw/handle/987654321/111243


    題名: 分子通訊中首次到達位置之柯西模型統計推論與決策邊界分析;Statistical Inference and Decision Boundary Analysis for Cauchy Models of First Arrival Position in Molecular Communication
    作者: 魏漢瑩;YING, WEI HAN
    貢獻者: 數學系
    關鍵詞: 分子通訊;首次到達位置;柯西分布;機率積分轉換;信賴區間;假設檢定;決策邊界;布朗運動;Molecular communication;first-arrival position;Cauchy distribution;probability integral transform;confidence interval;hypothesis testing;decision boundary;Brownian motion
    日期: 2026-07-30
    上傳時間: 2026-10-20 17:08:37 (UTC+8)
    出版者: 國立中央大學
    摘要: 在奈米尺度環境下,傳統電磁通訊方式可能受到裝置尺寸、能量消耗與傳播介質等因素限制,因此,以化學分子作為資訊載體的分子通訊(molecular communication, MC)逐漸受到重視。在擴散式 MC 中,分子的移動可由隨機過程描述。藉由分析接收端所記錄之分子首次到達位置(first-arrival position, FAP),可進一步推論發射端位置,並作為來源(source)定位、參數估計與來源分類(source classification)的基礎。

    本文以無漂移布朗運動(Brownian motion)與線型吸收接收器所形成的 FAP-Cauchy 模型為理論基礎,進一步探討 Cauchy 重尾分布下的統計推論問題。在二維擴散空間與一維線型吸收接收器的設定下,分子首次到達接收邊界時的位置可由 Cauchy 分布描述。由於 Cauchy 分布的期望值與變異數不存在,以樣本平均數與樣本變異數為基礎的傳統推論方法容易受到極端觀測值影響。因此,本文採用樣本中位數作為位置參數估計量,並以半四分位距(half-interquartile range, half-IQR)作為尺度參數估計量。此外,本文利用機率積分轉換(probability integral transform, PIT)將原始 Cauchy 觀測值轉換至有界的 Uniform domain。在此基礎上,本文比較多種信賴區間(confidence interval, CI)方法,包括 median-based CI、one-step estimator CI、sample mean CI 與 PIT-based back-transformed interval,並分析其區間長度、coverage 表現與有限樣本性質。

    在數值實驗部分,本文透過 Monte Carlo simulation 比較不同區間方法在各樣本數下的平均區間長度、coverage rate、Monte Carlo standard error(MCSE)與 scaling behavior。結果顯示,median-based CI、one-step estimator CI 及 PIT-based back-transformed interval 的平均區間長度皆呈現近似 O(n⁻¹ᐟ²) 的縮減趨勢。其中,median-based CI 與 one-step estimator CI 的 coverage rate 大致接近信賴水準(confidence level)。

    在已知參數的 oracle benchmark 中,PIT-based back-transformed interval 的 coverage rate 亦接近 0.95,顯示 PIT transformation 在理想參數條件下具有穩定的 coverage 表現。然而,當位置與尺度參數由同一批樣本估計,並直接代入 PIT 與反轉換程序時,naive plug-in interval 的 coverage rate 明顯低於信賴水準。此結果顯示,coverage rate 下降主要來自參數估計所引入的不確定性,而非 PIT transformation 本身失效。

    基於前述 FAP-Cauchy 模型與 PIT 結果,接續建立 PIT-based 假設檢定與 power curve,藉此評估接收端(receiver)對發射端(transmitter)位置變化的偵測能力。從結果得知,在對立假設下的位置參數與虛無假設位置之距離增加時,拒絕虛無假設的機率明顯上升,表示 PIT-based 檢定能反映 FAP 分布因來源位置偏移所造成的變化。

    在完成一維 FAP-Cauchy 模型之統計推論後,本文進一步將分析延伸至二維來源分類問題。本文採用二維 Cauchy-type 密度函數作為統計近似模型,建立 density-based classification rule 與決策邊界。透過密度相等條件 f₁(x, y) = f₂(x, y),分析兩來源模型下決策邊界的幾何結構,並比較 Gaussian 與 Cauchy-type 模型在兩來源中心連線上的交點行為。數值結果顯示,Gaussian 模型因具有較快的指數型尾端衰減(exponential tail decay),其中心連線交點對尺度比例改變較為敏感;相較之下,Cauchy-type 模型具有較慢的重尾衰減,因此交點位置的變化相對平緩。此外,本文以有限網格數值積分近似不同中心距離與尺度參數下的分類錯誤率,並以 heat map 呈現其整體變化。

    最後,本文延伸分析含垂直方向漂移的 FAP 模型,探討垂直方向漂移分量(drift component)對 FAP 密度函數、決策邊界與中心連線交點位置之影響。從結果可知,垂直漂移會改變兩來源密度之相對大小,使決策邊界產生偏移,且漂移強度越大,交點位置對尺度比例變化越敏感。

    整體而言,本文從一維 FAP-Cauchy 穩健統計推論出發,透過二維 Cauchy-type 分類模型之建立,再進一步延伸至含漂移的 FAP 分析,建立了一套適用於重尾 FAP 模型之參數推論與分類分析框架。;At the nanoscale, conventional electromagnetic communication may be constrained by device size, energy consumption, and propagation media. Molecular communication (MC), which uses chemical molecules as information carriers, has therefore attracted increasing attention. In diffusion-based molecular communication systems, molecular motion can be described by stochastic processes. By analyzing the first-arrival position (FAP) of molecules recorded at the receiver, information regarding the transmitter location can be inferred, thereby providing a basis for source localization, parameter estimation, and source classification.

    This thesis is theoretically based on the FAP-Cauchy model induced by drift-free Brownian motion and a linear absorbing receiver, and further investigates statistical inference under the heavy-tailed Cauchy distribution. In a two-dimensional diffusion space with a one-dimensional linear absorbing receiver, the position at which a molecule first reaches the absorbing boundary can be described by a Cauchy distribution. Because the expectation and variance of the Cauchy distribution do not exist, conventional inference methods based on the sample mean and sample variance are highly sensitive to extreme observations. Therefore, this thesis adopts the sample median as an estimator of the location parameter and uses half of the interquartile range (IQR), referred to as the half-IQR, as an estimator of the scale parameter.

    In addition, the probability integral transform (PIT) is used to transform the original Cauchy observations into a bounded uniform domain. On this basis, several confidence interval (CI) and transformation-based interval procedures are compared, including the median-based CI, the one-step estimator CI, the sample mean CI, and the PIT-based back-transformed interval. Their interval lengths, coverage performance, and finite-sample properties are then analyzed.

    In the numerical experiments, Monte Carlo simulations are conducted to compare the average interval length, coverage probability, Monte Carlo standard error (MCSE), and scaling behavior of the different interval procedures across various sample sizes. The results show that the average interval lengths of the median-based CI, the one-step estimator CI, and the PIT-based back-transformed interval decrease at an approximately O(n⁻¹ᐟ²) rate. Among these methods, the coverage probabilities of the median-based CI and the one-step estimator CI are generally close to the nominal confidence level.

    Under the known-parameter oracle benchmark, the coverage probability of the PIT-based back-transformed interval is also close to 0.95, indicating that the PIT transformation provides stable coverage performance under ideal parameter conditions. However, when the location and scale parameters are estimated from the same sample and directly substituted into the PIT and inverse-transformation procedures, the naive plug-in interval exhibits a coverage probability substantially below the nominal level. This result indicates that the reduction in coverage is mainly attributable to the uncertainty introduced by parameter estimation rather than to a failure of the PIT transformation itself.

    Based on the preceding FAP-Cauchy model and PIT results, this thesis further develops a PIT-based hypothesis-testing framework and its corresponding power curve to evaluate the ability of the receiver to detect changes in the transmitter location. The results show that, as the distance between the location parameter under the alternative hypothesis and that under the null hypothesis increases, the probability of rejecting the null hypothesis also increases substantially. This finding demonstrates that the PIT-based test can reflect changes in the FAP distribution caused by shifts in the source location.

    After completing the statistical inference analysis for the one-dimensional FAP-Cauchy model, this thesis further extends the study to a two-dimensional source-classification problem. A two-dimensional Cauchy-type density function is adopted as a statistical approximation model to construct a density-based classification rule and its corresponding decision boundary. By solving the density equality condition f₁(x, y) = f₂(x, y), the geometric structure of the decision boundary in a two-source model is analyzed, and the center-line intersection behavior of the Gaussian and Cauchy-type models is compared.

    The numerical results show that, owing to its faster exponential tail decay, the center-line intersection point of the Gaussian model is more sensitive to changes in the scale ratio. In contrast, because the Cauchy-type model has a more slowly decaying heavy tail, its intersection point varies more smoothly. In addition, finite-grid numerical integration is used to approximate the classification error rates under different source-center distances and scale parameters, and the overall variation is presented using heat maps.

    Finally, this thesis extends the analysis to an FAP model with a vertical drift component and investigates the effects of vertical drift on the FAP density function, decision boundary, and center-line intersection point. The results show that vertical drift changes the relative density levels of the two sources and consequently shifts the decision boundary. Moreover, as the drift intensity increases, the center-line intersection point becomes more sensitive to changes in the scale ratio.

    Overall, this thesis begins with robust statistical inference for the one-dimensional FAP-Cauchy model, extends the analysis to a two-dimensional Cauchy-type classification model, and further incorporates an FAP model with vertical drift. Through these analyses, a parameter-inference and classification framework applicable to heavy-tailed FAP models is established.
    顯示於類別:[數學研究所] 博碩士論文

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