根據股利訊號理論，公司會透過股利發放向外界傳遞公司內部資訊。本文探討台灣的銀行 發放股利和銀行未來財務健康狀況之間的關係。實證結果發現，提高股利發放率或單純提 高股利對銀行下一年的財務健康有顯著的正相關。這種顯著正相關只會出現在經濟狀況平 穩時，在金融危機時期的實證結果並不顯著。此外，上述的股利發放與財務健康之間的正 相關程度並不會因為資本比率高低而不同。當用逾期放款率作為財務健康的代理變數時， 政府持有銀行的股利發放對財務健康的影響程度會比私人持有的銀行更明顯。當用 z-score 作為財務健康的代理變數時，政府持有銀行與私人持有銀行之間的股利發放影響程度就沒 有程度上的不同。;According to dividend signal theory, companies transmit internal information to the outside world through the distribution of dividends. This article explores the association between dividend payouts and the future financial health of Taiwanese banks. The empirical results show that increasing the dividend payout rate the dividend itself has a significant positive association with the bank’s financial health in the next year. This significant positive correlation occurs only when economic conditions are stable, as the empirical results during financial crises are not significant. Furthermore, the strength of the positive relation between dividend payouts and financial health described above does not vary with capital ratios. When the nonperforming loan ratio is used as a proxy for financial health, the extent of the impact of government-owned banks’ dividends on financial health is more pronounced than that of privately-owned banks. When the z-score is used as a proxy for financial health, there is no difference in the extent of the effect of dividend payments between government-owned and privately-owned banks.
