Developing SFNN models to predict financial distress of construction companies

NCUIR > Engineering College > Department of Civil Engineering > journal & Dissertation > Item 987654321/99659

Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://ir.lib.ncu.edu.tw/handle/987654321/99659

Title:	Developing SFNN models to predict financial distress of construction companies
Authors:	陳介豪;Chen, Jieh-Haur
Contributors:	工學院土木工程學系
Keywords:	Accuracy;ANN;Confidence intervals;Construction companies;Construction costs;Descriptions;Expert systems;Financial crisis;Financial distress;Fuzzy;Mathematical models;Neural networks;Prediction;Running;SOM optimization
Date:	2012-01-01
Issue Date:	2026-04-21 13:26:08 (UTC+8)
Publisher:	Elsevier Ltd.;Elsevier Ltd
Abstract:	摘要： ► We develop a new model for predicting financial distress. ► We integrate SOM, optimization, fuzzy, and neural networks into a prediction model. ► The model yields high accurate rate for classification. This research integrates the concepts of self-organizing feature map optimization, fuzzy, and hyper-rectangular composite Neural Networks (called SFNN) to provide a new method for forecasting corporate financial distress. This method not only offers improved rate of prediction accuracy but also offers rules as a reference for examining corporate financial status. For the considered data sample the method satisfies the criteria for 95% confidence level, 3% limit of error, and 50–50 proportion. A total of 1615 effective financial reports from 42 listed construction related companies over the last decade are collected and analyzed. Each financial report contains 25 ratios that bankers commonly use to grade companies which are set as the input attributes. Following comprehensive descriptions of the three algorithms, the SFNN model is constructed. It achieves 85.1% accuracy for predicting corporate financial distress and 49 and 48 valuable rules, for determining the “failed” or “non-failed” of construction companies. Practitioners may even directly use the rules without running the model as a means of quickly and conveniently examining their corporate financial status. 出版者： Elsevier Ltd 出版日期： 2012 出處： Expert systems with applications, 2012, Vol.39 (1), p.823-827 版權： 2011 Elsevier Ltd 識別號： ISSN: 0957-4174 識別號： EISSN: 1873-6793 識別號： DOI: 10.1016/j.eswa.2011.07.080
Appears in Collections:	[Department of Civil Engineering] journal & Dissertation

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